The System Is Shouting, But Which Way?
The System Is Shouting, But Which Way? What's actually happening when your indicators contradict themselves Three days before Christmas, the financial system achieved something…
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They Fed You GDP Numbers and You Cheered. Here's Why That Ruins Everything.
They Fed You GDP Numbers and You Cheered. Here's Why That Ruins Everything. I need to say this plainly: Yesterday's market move was a lie dressed up in thin volume and holiday…
The Crypto Winter That Isn't: What $3 Trillion in Assets Actually Reveals About 2026
The Crypto Winter That Isn't: What $3 Trillion in Assets Actually Reveals About 2026 Somewhere around $88,000, Bitcoin stopped being interesting and became something else. A…
The Stagnation Trap: When Bullish Headlines Meet Chopped Prices
The Stagnation Trap: When Bullish Headlines Meet Chopped Prices What Actually Happened This Week (And Why It Matters Less Than You Think) Last Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq…
The Morning I Stopped Understanding Which Way Was Up
The Morning I Stopped Understanding Which Way Was Up The CPI number hit at 2.7% on Thursday—softer than expected, softer than the 3.1% people were bracing for—and for about four…
TikTok Got Bought (Probably), and Everything Broke
TikTok Got Bought (Probably), and Everything Broke A Visceral Tour of Markets Unraveling on Fundamentals Thursday morning I watched Oracle stock gap up 5% in pre-market. By…
The Decoupling That Can't Decouple (And Other Lies We Tell Ourselves at 3AM)
The Decoupling That Can't Decouple (And Other Lies We Tell Ourselves at 3AM) Bitcoin is down 3% for the year. The S&P 500 is up 17.33%. This is the first time in a decade—a…
The Year We Learned Capitalism Still Works (And Still Hurts)
The Year We Learned Capitalism Still Works (And Still Hurts) It's December 17th, and for the first time since November, I'm thinking about 2025 as a complete story rather than…
The December Delusion: Why Year-End Volatility Masks a Larger Reckoning
The December Delusion: Why Year-End Volatility Masks a Larger Reckoning The market's favorite excuse at this time of year is "low liquidity." It's a phrase whispered across…
The Carry Trade's Reckoning Is Three Days Away
The Carry Trade's Reckoning Is Three Days Away I've been staring at the same five charts all morning. Bitcoin at $86,000. The Nikkei down 1.2% on factory contraction. A Bank of…