Pre-Mortem: Wednesday, 8:30 A.M.
Pre-Mortem: Wednesday, 8:30 A.M. INTERNAL MEMO. DO NOT FORWARD. TO: Rates, Credit, Macro Strategy RE: September CPI, six bank prints, and which of our positions is lying to us…
Pre-Mortem: Wednesday, 8:30 A.M. INTERNAL MEMO. DO NOT FORWARD. TO: Rates, Credit, Macro Strategy RE: September CPI, six bank prints, and which of our positions is lying to us…
Four Hours at the White House, Two Days After the Vote Someone in the West Wing read the Supreme Court's Cook opinion carefully, and that should worry you more than if nobody…
Who Holds the Negative Carry The carry test is back, and it has no sense of humor. An asset yields more than the money that bought it or it does not. With the 10-year Treasury…
A Hundred Trillion Won and a Shrug Prepared remarks to an investment committee, Thursday morning. Transcript lightly edited. Good morning. Put the Samsung number on the screen…
Nobody Can Dye a Barrel Into Existence Somebody in Washington looked at a $6 diesel price, looked at a map of the Strait of Hormuz, and concluded the missing ingredient was food…
The Laggard Is Worth $5.8 Trillion Only in 2026 can a stock close at an all-time high of $238.90, carry a market value of $5.78 trillion, sit 3.8% short of becoming the first $6…
Two Hundred Times Earnings, One Customer, and a Post on X Two hundred times forward earnings, and what broke it was a post on X. I'd admire the efficiency if I weren't busy…
Eighty-Six Thousand Dollars of Memory Sunday, 02:40. A spot Bitcoin ETF allocator, awake, with the screen still on. Fine. Say it plainly. The best macro setup Bitcoin has had…
Eighty-Seven Percent and the Stock Went Down Eighty-seven percent. Read it again. A memory company, a business that spent most of its life selling a commodity to buyers who…
Crude Is Fixed. Tell That to Your Truck. Somebody call the oil desks and tell them to stand down, because the Gulf is back. Goldman reckons Gulf crude exports averaged 23.3…