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Insiders generally cannot sell their holdings for the first 90-180 days after an IPO, so that is something to consider. I know that the rules have been changed specifically for spacex and the time that insiders need to wait was significantly reduced to a tierd system starting at 70 days. For me, I would probably wait until after that period at a minimum. I just think that they are going to dump their holdings. The company is essentially multiple businesses that are not profitable all combined into one company. I wouldn't touch that stock regardless, for multiple reasons. I don't care if it does end up doing well and I miss out. But thats just me.
Another reason to wait, but there is also the 133% rule, which allows VCs to dump significant amounts of their stake earlier than the lock up period.
https://corporatevault.info/article/mechanics_of_shareholder_lock-up_agreements_and_waiver_rules
Okay interesting. I wasn't aware of that. Good to know!