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yep, boring coMPounding in real businesses still tends to beat chaos across decades, even when rates swing.
Central banks can mess up, but unless we hit true debt spiral territory, saving steadily and and reinvesting usually wins for households.
are you saying policy shocks can wipe out long term returns for anyone staying unlevered?
No, it has nothing to do with policy shocks but the fundamental framework of how an economy works. It is functionally impossible for compounding interest to "beat chaos across the decades". If ever it did the state would be unable to repay its debt obligations causing state debt to go exponential. It is designed not to on purpose. That is the entire point of the central bank interest rate and why it is reassessed on a regular basis.
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