Chaos Legion Holiday Deals 2022: Purchase Cases - Calculations and Evaluations (ENG/ITA)
La versione in italiano è subito dopo la versione in inglese - The Italian version is immediately after the English version
Chaos Legion Holiday Deals 2022: Purchase Cases - Calculations and Evaluations
Today I return to write a post about my favorite blockchain game: Splinterlands.
Among all the blockchain-based games I play and have invested in Splinterlands is the one I consider the most complete because besides being a strategy game that is fun to play it also offers the possibility to have fun with calculations and predictions because it has so many assets (NFTs and tokens) whose fluctuations in value can change one or more investment scenarios and consequently the financial strategies related to these scenarios can also change.
The topic of this post of mine is the study and evaluation of the various purchase cases of a Chaos Legion pack whose market value on Hive Engine went in a few days from a value of $1.83 (Nov. 29, 2022) to a current value of $1.478 (Lowest Ask: Dec. 3, 2022).
Why this decrease in value in just a few days?
We are still in Bear Market, but the reason for this decrease in value is perhaps because of the Splinterlands Chaos Legion & Tower Defense Holiday Deals 2022 promotion that started just on November 29, 2022.
Splinterlands has offered incentives to those who will buy large quantities of Chaos Legion packs during the period November 29-December 21, 2022 (until 5:00 PM EST), and it is likely that many large buyers will have put some packs on sale or those who were buying packs from Hive Engine preferred to participate in the promotion.
One way or another, the current price of Chaos Legion packs on Hive Engine is very "inviting"
In the following two images you can see all the requirements to participate in the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo and all the benefits obtainable based on the amount of packs purchased.
The entry level to participate in the promotion is the bronze level which requires an investment of $10000 in Crypto/Fiat or an investment of 10 MILLION DEC tokens.
Today December 2, 2022 1000 DEC tokens** are worth $0.733266 and therefore for those who want to participate in the promotion it is absolutely advisable to use DEC tokens as a payment method because the achievable savings is 26.67% compared to other payment methods.
Not everyone has a budget of $10000 or DEC 10 million, but even small investors can participate through buying pools.
Today I had some fun doing some calculations and analyzed the various cases of buying Chaos Legion packs considering all possible options:
- purchase from the shop of Splinterlands
- purchase via the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
- purchase from Hive Engine
For each purchase option I calculated the cost per pack in terms of dollars.
1st Purchase Case: Shop at Splinterlands
From the Shop section of the Splinterlands website, you can purchase a pack of Chaos Legion cards with 4000 credits or with 4000 DEC.
Those who purchase a Chaos Legion card pack with credits spend 4$.
Those who purchase a pack of Chaos Legion cards with DEC spend less: 2.9331$
Those who purchase a Chaos Legion pack from the Shop section of Splinterlands have 2 benefits:
- can participate in the last 4 Chaos Legion airdrops.
- will receive one promo card for each pack purchased but only until December 21, 2022 (5:00 PM EST)
Splinterlands has not yet revealed what the promo card will be, so it is not possible to make predictions and assessments about its future market value, which will depend
- on game statistics (usefulness in battle)
- on the number of cards in circulation
I have summarized in tabular form all the benefits obtainable from the purchase of 1 Chaos Legion pack from the Shop section of Splinterlands and also calculated the percentages of probability of obtaining a card from the airdrops for each pack purchased.
I also tried to calculate the estimated monetary value of the probability of receiving a card from the next 4 airdrops and to do this calculation I based it on the current market value of the last card distributed by the tenth airdrop: Conqueror Jacek ($16.45).
Today, December 3, the probabilities linked to airdrops 11-12-13-14 have a total estimated value of $0.1034
If I add to this value the market value of the least expensive Promo card on the Splinterlands market (Goblin Chef - $0.26) I can try to calculate the estimated total cost of a pack of Chaos Legion cards purchased from the Splinterlands Shop which takes into consideration a possible value of the benefits: 2.5697$ (2.9331$ - 0.1034$ - 0.26$)
2nd Purchase Case: Bronze Level Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Those who have 10 million of DEC available can participate in the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo and will receive the benefits of the Bronze Level.
In this case, the cost per pack is $2.1328 = 2857.1429 DEC
As in the case of buying a Chaos Legion pack from the Splinterlands site, I tried to calculate an estimated value for each benefit obtainable in the Bronze level of the promotion.
To calculate the total estimated value of 3500 Promo Cards I considered the value of Goblin Chef which is the cheapest promo card for sale on the market = $0.26.
To calculate the total estimated value of cards receivable from airdrops I considered:
- the probability of receiving a guaranteed card from each airdrop based on the number of packs purchased, a probability that decreases in subsequent airdrops.
- The market value of Conqueror Jacek (card distributed in the tenth airdrop).
As you can see from the data in the table below the estimated total value of benefits obtainable in the bronze level is $1271.95.
Considering the calculation of the estimated value of benefits, the cost per package drops from $2,1320 to $1,7694.
If I compare the cost per pack with the estimated value of a pack of cards and if I then compare with the cost per pack on Hive Engine (source: https://www.splintercards.com/index.html) I can arrive at interesting valuations.
Buying a pack of cards through the Chaos Legion Bulk Package promotion (Bronze level) produces a negative estimated profit of -$0.0094 per pack and therefore does not seem like a good choice at the moment.
Buying a package from Hive Engine is much cheaper because the price on the market is very low ($1.47) and the estimated profit is +$0.29 per pack.
3rd Purchase Case: Level Silver Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Those who have 24.8 million of DEC available can participate in the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo and will receive the benefits of the silver level.
In this case the cost per pack is the same as the previous case: $2.1328 = 2857.1429 DEC
What changes between Bronze and Silver level are the benefits which increase in number.
The Silver level has 2 more benefits than the Bronze level:
- 2 Runes (0.2699 ETH x 2 = 348.77$)
- Free L10 Guild Hall (Total value: 2710000 DEC)
As you can see from the data in the table below, the total estimated value of benefits obtainable with the silver level is according to my calculations: 5490.36$.
Considering the estimated value of benefits the estimated cost per pack drops from $2,1320 to $1,5003.
Comparing the cost per pack with the estimated value of a pack of cards produces a positive estimated profit instead of the negative value I calculated for the Bronze level: +0.2695$.
So buying a Chaos Legion pack via the Silver level promotion is a positive expected profit choice but buying a pack from Hive Engine is still the better choice but the difference between the two costs is really minimal: -0.0303$.
Those participating in a purchasing pool, however, need not consider the value of the Free L10 Guild Hall benefit and will have a per-pack cost of $1.7292 that will produce better results than the Bronze level but very close in value.
4th Purchase Case: Gold Level Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Those who have 50 million of DEC available can participate in the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo and will receive the benefits of the Gold Level.
In this case, the cost per package without considering the value of benefits is lower than the previous case: $1.9644 Vs $2.1328.
The Gold level has more benefits than the Silver level including:
- 5 Runs (0.2699 ETH x 2 = 1743.85$) - 3 more Runs
- extra 1500 CL packs
As you can see from the data in the table below the estimated total value of benefits obtainable with the Gold level is: 10635.88$.
Considering the estimated value of benefits, the cost per pack drops from $1.9644 to $1.4046.
Comparing the cost per pack with the estimated value of a card pack yields a much higher positive estimated profit per pack than at the Silver level: +0.3554$ Vs +0.2597$.
Buying a pack from Hive Engine is no longer the best choice!
Those participating in a purchase pool need not consider the value of the Free L10 Guild Hall benefit and will have a cost per pack of $1.5092 which will produce the following results.
5th Purchase Case: Diamond Level Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Those who have 100 million of DEC available can participate in the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo and will receive the benefits of the Diamond Level.
In this case the cost per package without considering the value of benefits is lower than the previous case: $1.9140 Vs $1.9644.
The Diamond level has more benefits than the Gold level including:
- 12 Runs (0.2699 ETH x 2 = $1743.85) - 7 more Runs
As you can see from the data in the table below, the total estimated value of benefits obtainable with the Diamond level is: 20345.57$.
Considering the estimated value of benefits, the cost per pack drops from $1.4046 to $1.3924.
Comparing the cost per pack with the estimated value of a card pack yields a positive estimated profit that is higher than at the Gold level even if only slightly: +0.3676$ Vs +0.3554$.
Again, buying a Chaos Legion pack through the current promotion is the best choice!
Those who participate in a purchase pool need not consider the value of the Free L10 Guild Hall benefit and will have a cost per pack of $1.4433 which will produce the following results.
Thus, it is the Diamond level that is the goal to be reached for those participating in a purchasing pool because it is the level where the of cost of a pack purchased on Hive Engine is higher than the cost of a pack purchased through the promotion at the Diamond level.
6th Purchase Case: Champion Level Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Those who have 150 million of DEC available can participate in the Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo and will receive the benefits of the Champion level.
In this case, the cost per package without considering the value of the benefits is lower than the previous case: $1.8662 Vs $1.9140.
The Champion level has more benefits than the Diamond level including:
- 18 Runs (0.2699 ETH x 18 = 6277.86$) - 5 more Runs
As you can see from the data in the table below the estimated total value of benefits obtainable with the Diamond level is: 30069.90$.
Considering the estimated value of benefits the cost per pack drops from $1.3924 to $1.3650.
Comparing the cost per pack with the estimated value of a pack of cards yields a positive estimated profit that is higher than the Diamond level even if only slightly: +0.3950$ Vs +0.3676$.
Those participating in a purchasing pool need not consider the value of the Free L10 Guild Hall benefit and will have an estimated cost per pack of $1.3981 which will produce the following results.
Final Considerations
The calculations I made today are based on some certain data but also on some estimated and therefore not certain data.
The first consideration to make is that buying a single pack from the Shop section is not currently convenient even considering the purchase cases that allow you to receive bonuses because the dollar price of a pack of Chaos Legion cards on Hive Engine is really very low and is definitely a better choice:
- cost per pack on Shop: $2.9331
- cost per pack on Shop: $2.5697 (considering estimated benefits value)
- cost per pack on Hive Engine: $1.47 (without benefits)
The current estimated value of a Chaos Legion card pack is $1.76 and this means that right now every pack purchased at a price greater than $1.76 is a negative expected profit purchase.
Therefore, participating in a pool that targets the Silver level of the current promotion is not a wise choice in my opinion.
Participating in a buying pool that targets the Gold+ level is a better choice.
Those who have a lot of DECs have the option of paying for a Chaos Legion card pack:
- $1,5003 (Silver)
- $1,4040 (Gold)
- 1,3924 (Diamond)
- 1,3650 (Champion)
Obviously, mine are not financial advice but estimated and not certain calculations of a simple player/investor who enjoyed doing personal analysis and evaluation.
I chose to follow a balanced strategy:
- I purchased 55 Chaos Legion packs from Hive Engine.
- I participated in the buying pool at https://splinter.fi/clp in which I purchased 55 CLP tokens at a cost of 2700 DEC each.
Each CLP token will get me:
- 1 Chaos Legion Pack
- 1 Promo card
- a proportional share of the earnings from the Runi and legendary summoner airdrops.
Participating in the current promotion must be a subjective choice mainly because it is based on personal predictions and evaluations.
The future market value that the promo card that will be distributed to participants in the current promotion will be decisive.
The strategy I will follow in the coming days will be as follows:
- I will continue to purchase Chaos Legion packs from Hive Engine as long as the price is below $1.50
- I will purchase more CLP tokens from the SplinterFi purchase pool if the price of Chaos Legion packs on Hive Engine exceeds $1.80.
One way or another and whatever the positive or negative outcome of the investment strategies I choose to follow I will still have had fun making calculations and predictions and that's the beauty of Splinterlands too ;)
I hope I have given you useful information and thank you for taking the time to read this post :)
#Splinterlands = #Hive based #Play2Earn!
Are you not a Splinterlands player?
Any game that allows the purchase of NFTs and tokens is never just a game but is also an investment and should always be considered as such.
I am not a financial advisor and if you decide to invest in the Splinterlands game you do so by your own choice, after making your personal evaluations and after considering all possible risk factors.
A selection of my previous Splinterlands posts
HIVE ON and Splinterlands ON!
Chaos Legion Holiday Deals 2022: Casi di Acquisto - Calcoli e Valutazioni
Oggi torno a scrivere un post sul mio gioco blockchain preferito: Splinterlands.
Fra tutti i giochi basati su blockchain in cui ho investito Splinterlands è quello che considero più completo perchè oltre ad essere un gioco di strategia divertente da giocare offre anche la possibilità di divertirsi con calcoli e previsioni perchè ha tanti assets (NFTs e tokens) le cui oscillazioni di valore possono cambiare uno o più scenari di investimento e di conseguenza possono cambiare anche le strategie finanziarie collegate a questi scenari.
L'argomento di questo mio post è la valutazione dei vari casi di acquisto di un pacco Chaos Legion il cui valore di mercato su Hive Engine è passato in pochi giorni da un valore di 1.83$ (29 novembre 2022) ad un valore attuale di 1.478$ (Lowest Ask: 3 dicembre 2022).
Come mai questa diminuzione di valore in pochi giorni?
Il motivo di questa diminuzione di valore è forse da ricercare nella promozione Splinterlands Chaos Legion & Tower Defense Holiday Deals 2022 iniziata proprio il 29 novembre 2022.
Splinterlands ha offerto degli incentivi a chi acquisterà grandi quantità di pacchi Chaos Legion nel periodo 29 novembre - 21 dicembre 2022 (fino alle 5:00 PM EST).
Nelle due immagini seguenti puoi vedere tutti i requisiti per partecipare alla Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo e tutti i benefits ottenibili in base al quantitativo di pacchi acquistati.
L'entry level per partecipare alla promozione è il livello bronzo che richiede un investimento di 10000$ in Crypto/Fiat o un investimento di 10 Milioni di token DEC.
Oggi 2 dicembre 2022 1000 DEC valgono 0.733266$ e quindi per chi vuole partecipare alla promozione è assolutamente consigliabile utilizzare i token DEC come metodo di pagamento perchè il risparmio ottenibile è del 26.67% rispetto alle altre modalità di pagamento.
Non tutti hanno una disponibilità economica di 10000$ o 10 milioni di DEC ma anche i piccoli investitori possono partecipare tramite le pools di acquisto.
Oggi mi sono divertito a fare un pò di calcoli e ho analizzato i vari casi di acquisto dei pacchi Chaos Legion considerando tutte le opzioni possibili:
- acquisto dallo shop di Splinterlands
- acquisto tramite la promozione Chaos Legion Bulk Package
- acquisto da Hive Engine
Per ogni opzione di acquisto ho calcolato il costo per pacco in termini di dollari.
1° Caso di acquisto: Shop di Splinterlands
Dalla sezione Shop del sito di Splinterlands è possibile acquistare un pacco di carte Chaos Legion con 4000 crediti oppure con 4000 DEC.
Chi acquista un pacco di carte Chaos Legion con i crediti spende 4$.
Chi acquista un pacco di carte Chaos Legion con i DEC spende meno: 2.9331$
Chi acquista un pacco Chaos Legion dalla sezione Shop di Splinterlands ha 2 benefits:
- può partecipare agli ultimi 4 airdrops Chaos Legion
- riceverà una carta promo per ogni pacco acquistato ma solo fino al 21 dicembre 2022 (5:00 PM EST)
Splinterlands non ha ancora rivelato quale sarà la carta promo e quindi non è possibile fare previsioni e valutazioni sul suo futuro valore di mercato che dipenderà:
- dalle statistiche di gioco (utilità in battaglia)
- dal numero delle carte in circolazione
Ho riassunto in forma tabellare tutti i benefits ottenibili dall'acquisto di 1 pacco Chaos Legion dalla sezione Shop di Splinterlands è ho calcolato anche le percentuali di probabilità di ottenere una carta dagli airdrops per ogni pacco acquistato.
Ho provato a calcolare anche il valore stimato monetario delle probabilità di ricevere una carta dai prossimi 4 airdrops e per fare questo calcolo mi sono basato sul valore di mercato attuale dell'ultima carta distribuita dal decimo airdrop: Conqueror Jacek (16.45$).
Oggi 3 dicembre le probabilità collegate agli airdrops 11-12-13-14 hanno un valore stimato totale di 0.1034$
Se a questo valore aggiungo il valore di mercato della carta Promo meno costosa sul mercato di Splinterlands (Goblin Chef - 0.26$) posso provare a calcolare il costo totale stimato di un pacco di carte Chaos Legion acquistato dallo Shop di Splinterlands che tiene conto di un possibile valore dei benefits: 2.5697$ (2.9331$ - 0.1034$ - 0.26$)
2° Caso di acquisto: Livello Bronzo Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Chi ha 10 milioni di DEC disponibili può partecipare alla Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo e riceverà i benefici del livello bronzo.
In questo caso il costo per pacco è di 2.1328$ = 2857.1429 DEC
Come nel caso dell'acquisto di un pacco Chaos Legion dal sito di Splinterlands ho provato a calcolare un valore stimato per ogni benefit ottenibile nel livello Bronzo della promozione.
Per calcolare il valore totale stimato di 3500 Promo Card ho preso in considerazione il valore di Goblin Chef che è la carta promo più economica in vendita sul mercato = 0.26$.
Per calcolare il valore totale stimato delle carte ricevibili dagli airdrops ho considerato:
- la probabilità di ricevere una carta garantita da ogni airdrop in base al numero di pacchi acquistati, probabilità che diminuisce negli airdrops successivi.
- il valore di mercato di Conqueror Jacek (carta distribuita nel decimo airdrop).
Come puoi vedere dai dati presenti nella tabella seguente il valore totale stimato dei benefits ottenibili nel livello bronzo è di 1271.95$.
Considerando il calcolo del valore stimato dei benefits il costo per pacco scende da 2.1320$ a 1.7694$.
Se confronto il costo per pacco con il valore stimato di un pacco di carte e se poi faccio il confronto con il costo per pacco su Hive Engine (fonte: https://www.splintercards.com/index.html) posso arrivare ad interessanti valutazioni.
Acquistare un pacco di carte tramite la promozione Chaos Legion Bulk Package (livello Bronzo) produce un profitto stimato negativo di -0.0094$ per pacco e quindi non sembra al momento una buona scelta.
Acquistare un pacco da Hive Engine è molto più conveniente perchè il prezzo sul mercato è molto basso (1.47$) e il profitto stimato è di +0.29$ per pacco.
3° Caso di acquisto: Livello Silver Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Chi ha 24.8 milioni di DEC disponibili può partecipare alla Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo e riceverà i benefici del livello silver.
In questo caso il costo per pacco è uguale al caso precedente: 2.1328$ = 2857.1429 DEC
Quello che cambia tra il livello Bronze e Silver sono i benefici che aumentano di numero.
Il livello Silver ha 2 benefici in più rispetto al livello Bronze:
- 2 Runi (0.2699 ETH x 2 = 348.77$)
- Free L10 Guild Hall (Total value: 2710000 DEC)
Come puoi vedere dai dati presenti nella tabella seguente il valore totale stimato dei benefits ottenibili con il livello silver è in base ai miei calcoli: 5490.36$.
Considerando il valore stimato dei benefits il costo stimato per pacco scende da 2.1320$ a 1.5003$.
Il confronto tra il costo per pacco con il valore stimato di un pacco di carte produce un profitto stimato positivo invece del valore negativo che ho calcolato per il livello Bronze: +0.2695$.
Quindi acquistare un pacco Chaos Legion tramite la promozione livello Silver è una scelta a profitto atteso positivo ma acquistare un pacco da Hive Engine è ancora la scelta migliore ma la differenza tra i due costi è davvero minima: -0.0303$.
Chi partecipa ad una pool di acquisto non deve però considerare il valore del beneficio Free L10 Guild Hall e avrà un costo per pacco di 1.7292$ che produrrà dei risultati migliori rispetto al livello Bronze ma molto vicini di valore.
4° Caso di acquisto: Livello Gold Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Chi ha 50 milioni di DEC disponibili può partecipare alla Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo e riceverà i benefici del livello Gold.
In questo caso il costo per pacco senza considerare il valore dei benefits è inferiore al caso precedente: 1.9644$ Vs 2.1328$.
Il livello Gold ha maggiori benefici rispetto al livello Silver tra cui:
- 5 Runi (0.2699 ETH x 2 = 1743.85$) - 3 Runi in più
- extra 1500 CL packs
Come puoi vedere dai dati presenti nella tabella seguente il valore totale stimato dei benefits ottenibili con il livello Gold è: 10635.88$.
Considerando il valore stimato dei benefits il costo per pacco scende da 1.9644$ a 1.4046$.
Il confronto tra il costo per pacco con il valore stimato di un pacco di carte produce un profitto stimato positivo per pacco molto più alto rispetto al livello Silver: +0.3554$ Vs +0.2597$.
Acquistare un pacco da Hive Engine non è più la scelta migliore!
Chi partecipa ad una pool di acquisto non deve considerare il valore del beneficio Free L10 Guild Hall e avrà un costo per pacco di 1.5092$ che produrrà i seguenti risultati.
5° Caso di acquisto: Livello Diamond Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Chi ha 100 milioni di DEC disponibili può partecipare alla Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo e riceverà i benefici del livello Diamond.
In questo caso il costo per pacco senza considerare il valore dei benefits è inferiore al caso precedente: 1.9140$ Vs 1.9644$.
Il livello Diamond ha maggiori benefici rispetto al livello Gold tra cui:
- 12 Runi (0.2699 ETH x 2 = 1743.85$) - 7 Runi in più
Come puoi vedere dai dati presenti nella tabella seguente il valore totale stimato dei benefits ottenibili con il livello Diamond è: 20345.57$.
Considerando il valore stimato dei benefits il costo per pacco scende da 1.4046$ a 1.3924$.
Il confronto tra il costo per pacco con il valore stimato di un pacco di carte produce un profitto stimato positivo più alto rispetto al livello Gold anche se di poco: +0.3676$ Vs +0.3554$.
Anche in questo acquistare un pacco Chaos Legion tramite la promozione in corso è la scelta migliore!
Chi partecipa ad una pool di acquisto non deve considerare il valore del beneficio Free L10 Guild Hall e avrà un costo per pacco di 1.4433$ che produrrà i seguenti risultati.
E' quindi il livello Diamond l'obiettivo da raggiungere per chi partecipa ad una pool di acquisto perchè è il livello in cui il di costo di un pacco acquistato su Hive Engine è superiore rispetto al costo di un pacco acquistato tramite la promozione al livello Diamond.
6° Caso di acquisto: Livello Champion Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo
Chi ha 150 milioni di DEC disponibili può partecipare alla Chaos Legion Bulk Package Promo e riceverà i benefici del livello Champion.
In questo caso il costo per pacco senza considerare il valore dei benefits è inferiore al caso precedente: 1.8662$ Vs 1.9140$.
Il livello Champion ha maggiori benefici rispetto al livello Diamond tra cui:
- 18 Runi (0.2699 ETH x 18 = 6277.86$) - 5 Runi in più
Come puoi vedere dai dati presenti nella tabella seguente il valore totale stimato dei benefits ottenibili con il livello Diamond è: 30069.90$.
Considerando il valore stimato dei benefits il costo per pacco scende da 1.3924$ a 1.3650$.
Il confronto tra il costo per pacco con il valore stimato di un pacco di carte produce un profitto stimato positivo più alto del livello Diamond anche se di poco: +0.3950$ Vs +0.3676$.
Chi partecipa ad una pool di acquisto non deve considerare il valore del beneficio Free L10 Guild Hall e avrà un costo stimato per pacco di 1.3981$ che produrrà i seguenti risultati.
Considerazioni Finali
I calcoli che ho fatto oggi sono basati su alcuni dati certi ma anche su alcuni dati stimati e quindi non certi.
La prima considerazione da fare è che acquistare un singolo pacco dalla sezione Shop non è al momento conveniente anche considerando i casi di acquisto che permettono di ricevere i bonus perchè il prezzo in dollari di un pacco di carte Chaos Legion su Hive Engine è davvero molto basso ed è decisamente una scelta migliore:
- costo per pacco Shop: 2.9331$
- costo per pacco Shop: 2.5697$ (considerando valore stimato benefits)
- costo per pacco Hive Engine: 1.47$ (senza benefits)
Il valore stimato attuale di un pacco di carte Chaos Legion è di 1.76$ e questo vuol dire che in questo momento ogni pacco acquistato ad un prezzo maggiore di 1.76$ è un acquisto a profitto atteso negativo.
Per questo motivo partecipare ad una pool che ha come obiettivo il livello Silver della promozione in corso non è una scelta saggia secondo me.
Partecipare ad una pool di acquisto che ha come obiettivo di raggiungere il livello Gold+ è una scelta migliore.
Chi ha tanti DEC ha la possibilità di pagare un pacco di carte Chaos Legion:
- 1.5003$ (Silver)
- 1.4040$ (Gold)
- 1.3924 (Diamond)
- 1.3650 (Champion)
Ovviamente i miei non sono consigli finanziari ma calcoli stimati e non certi di un semplice giocatore/investitore che si è divertito a fare analisi e valutazioni personali.
Io ho scelto di seguire una strategia equilibrata:
- ho acquistato 55 pacchi Chaos Legion da Hive Engine
- ho partecipato alla pool di acquisto del sito https://splinter.fi/clp in cui ho acquistato 55 token CLP ad un costo di 2700 DEC l'uno.
Ogni token CLP mi farà ricevere:
- 1 Chaos Legion Pack
- 1 Promo card
- a proportional share of the earnings from the Runi and legendary summoner airdrops.
Partecipare alla promozione in corso deve essere una scelta soggettiva soprattutto perchè basata sulle previsioni e valutazioni personali.
Sarà determinante il valore di mercato che avrà la carta promo che verrà distribuita ai partecipanti alla promozione in corso.
La strategia che seguirò nei prossimi giorni sarà la seguente:
- continuerò ad acquistare pacchi Chaos Legion da Hive Engine fino a quando il prezzo sarà inferiore a 1.50$
- acquisterò altri token CLP della pool di acquisto SplinterFi se il prezzo dei pacchi Chaos Legion su Hive Engine supererà il valore di 1.80$.
In un modo o nell'altro e qualunque sarà l'esito positivo o negativo delle strategie di investimento che sceglierò di seguire mi sarò comunque divertito a fare calcoli e previsioni e il bello di Splinterlands è anche questo ;)
Spero di averti dato informazioni utili e ti ringrazio per aver dedicato il tuo tempo alla lettura di questo post :)
#Splinterlands = #Hive Based #Play2Earn!
Non sei un giocatore di Splinterlands?
Ogni gioco che permette l'acquisto di NFT e di token non è mai un semplice gioco ma è anche un investimento e come tale deve sempre essere considerato.
Io non sono un consulente finanziario e se decidi di investire nel gioco di Splinterlands lo fai per tua scelta, dopo aver fatto le tue personali valutazioni e dopo aver considerato tutti i possibili fattori di rischio.
Una selezione dei miei post su Splinterlands
@tipu curate
Grazie mille
!PGM
!LOL
!PIZZA
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
lolztoken.com
Bartender: Are you positive?
Credit: theabsolute
@zottone444, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @libertycrypto27
Delegate Hive Tokens to Farm $LOLZ and earn 110% Rewards. Learn more.
(4/8)
A lot of calculations, kudos for putting this together! I participated in a pool but maybe would have been better off by buying on hive engine.
!PGM
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Hi solymi
If the pool you participated in reaches the Gold or better Diamond level it will most likely be a good choice.
Pools that do not reach the Gold level will almost certainly be an unprofitable choice at least in the short term.
However much will depend on the value the promo card will have....
thanks for reading and appreciating my post
!PGM
!LOL
!LUV
@solymi, @libertycrypto27(5/5) sent you LUV.
wallet | market | tools | discord | community | <>< daily
HiveWiki
HiveBuzz.me NFT for Peace
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
lolztoken.com
Acorny one.
Credit: reddit
@solymi, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @libertycrypto27
Delegate Hive Tokens to Farm $LOLZ and earn 110% Rewards. Learn more.
(4/8)
Well I think it will reach gold, it is done by Ygg.
And the appreciation is well deserved.
!PIZZA
I also like the CLP token and I got 10 of them at 2.7k DEC each too. The bulk packages are nice but it just costs too much and it's much cheaper to get it from that deal.
Posted Using LeoFinance Beta
Yes Splinterfi is a good pool and I also like the fact that it is quite automated.
Today I bought 164 packs of cards on Hive Engine, the current price is really inviting ;)
!PGM
!LOL
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
lolztoken.com
Luckily I Noah guy.
Credit: happyme
@jfang003, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @libertycrypto27
Use the !LOL or !LOLZ command to share a joke and an $LOLZ
(2/8)
Hi bro nice and well-explained post you have written. Is that CLP tokens are still available ?
!PGM
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
thanks bro :)
Yes if you want to participate you have to go here: https://splinter.fi/clp
and click buy cpl
It's all automated ;)
!PGM
!PIZZA
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Thanks, bro.. What will be the use case of this CLP token after participating in the sale how we can get the pack and promo cards? Do we need to send or burn CLP tokens for getting packs and promo cards?
!PGM
View more
mamma mia che analisi!
Comunque, non so se la scelta di Splinterlands sia quella corretta. Avrebbero potuto proporre pack di valore minore per permettere a più persone di entrare nell'offerta. Attualmente partecipare ad una pool sembra la cosa più sensata da fare se si vuole investire.
Ma poi, una domanda, chi diamine li ha 150 milioni di DEC ahahah
!PGM
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Sono pochi ma ci sono e a me piacerebbe tanto avere una quantità del genere ma mi devo accontentare di 149 milioni in meno :) !LOL
Si la pool è la scelta migliore per piccoli investitori come noi ma con i prezzi dei pacchi così bassi su Hive Engine io penso di puntare su quelli ;)
Grazie del commento e di aver letto il mio post
!PGM
!LOL
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
lolztoken.com
It's a total rip-off.
Credit: reddit
@ivanslait, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @libertycrypto27
Delegate Hive Tokens to Farm $LOLZ and earn 110% Rewards. Learn more.
(3/8)
Si, io ne ho preso qualcuno su hive engine ma niente di eccezionale ahah
ma comunque per i piccolissimi investitori, come me ad esempio, non penso convenga acquistare su hiveengine visto che non si può partecipare agli airdrop CL ne tantomeno si avrà la reward card..
Vedrò cosa fare, per ora non tocco nulla ahaha
!PGM
View more
Great analysis! Prices on packs are sure to drop with this sale, and after I may swoop in and pick up a bunch cheap and wait until the rest are burned! I've never used a buying group in Splinterlands, off hand do you have any names?
!PIZZA
!LOL
!LUV
@libertycrypto27, @thebighigg(1/1) sent you LUV.
wallet | market | tools | discord | community | <>< daily
HiveWiki
HiveBuzz.me NFT for Peace
lolztoken.com
He could never reach the city limit.
Credit: reddit
@libertycrypto27, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @thebighigg
Thanks for supporting The LOLZ Project. We !LUV our users!
(1/1)
Thanks :)
I also never participated in buying groups until now because in the past they required vouchers and their value was very high and I preferred to sell them and then buy more assets.
In this case the situation is different and I participated in the pool https://splinter.fi/clp by buying 55 CPL tokens = 55 packs + 55 promo cards + shares other benefits.
But as long as the prices are so low on Hive engine I will prefer to buy from there ;)
!PGM
!LOL
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Thank you so much! Can you buy a CPL directly from them or on Hive engine?
View more
!PGM
!PIMP
!LOLZ
You must be killin' it out here!
@entrepidus just slapped you with 1.000 PIMP, @libertycrypto27.
You earned 1.000 PIMP for the strong hand.
They're getting a workout and slapped 1/2 possible people today.
Read about some PIMP Shit or Look for the PIMP District
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
lolztoken.com
Because they make up literally everything.
Credit: marshmellowman
@libertycrypto27, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @entrepidus
Have you tried the !gif !lolz !meme combo? It is a wall of fun!
(1/10)
Via Tenor
Credit: arthursiq5
Earn Crypto for your Memes @ hiveme.me!
thanks
!PGM
!PIMP
!LOLZ
You must be killin' it out here!
@libertycrypto27 just slapped you with 1.000 PIMP, @entrepidus.
You earned 1.000 PIMP for the strong hand.
They're getting a workout and slapped 1/1 possible people today.
Read about some PIMP Shit or Look for the PIMP District
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
thanks a lot. i dont know about splinter.fi pool. i join now 😁
I also didn't know about splinter.fi until a few days ago
!PGM
!PIZZA
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
thanks i try 10 CLP . now price packs chaos more cheap in hive less 4 hive 😄
I;m very tempted to go the Hive-Engine route.
Posted Using LeoFinance Beta
I gave in to temptation and bought 55 packs on Hive Engine, I'm thinking of getting more but I want to see if they go down some more ;)
!PGM
!WINE
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Its likely they dip a little more after the End Of Year sale concludes. I been stacking up on DEC for my next purchase but its looking like if DEC can hit the $0.80/1000 range I'll be trading it for HIVE and HIVE for Packs that are sold on the secondary markets.
Mi hai incuriosito: darò un'occhiata e vediamo se mi lascerò tentare da un piccolo acquisto :) anche se forse nel mio caso è più conveniente comprare le singole carte che mi interessano... te cosa mi consigli?
!PGM
!LOL
lolztoken.com
I just knew she was a keeper.
Credit: reddit
@libertycrypto27, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @arc7icwolf
Farm LOLZ tokens when you Delegate Hive or Hive Tokens.
Click to delegate: 10 - 20 - 50 - 100 HP
(2/6)
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Comprare un pacco o pochi pacchi di carte è sempre affidarsi alla fortuna in qualche modo.
Quando il valore stimato è superiore al prezzo di mercato comprare un pacco ha sempre una logica e un profitto atteso positivo ma vale su grandi numeri di pacchi acquistati (500+).
Tra comprare un pacco e acquistare una carta utile in battaglia io preferisco sempre la seconda opzione a meno che il pacco costa davvero molto poco o se posso acquistare pochi pacchi.
Quindi il mio consiglio è di guardare al mercato delle singole carte se vuoi potenziare la tua collezione e hai pochi fondi da investire...se invece hai la possibilità di comprare tanti pacchi il discorso potrebbe cambiare perchè il valore atteso ha molte probabilità di avvicinarsi al valore reale...
!PGM
!LOL
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Mi ritrovo sicuramente nell'opzione "pochi fondi" (molto pochi, aggiungerei!), per cui seguirò il tuo consiglio e proseguirò per la strada degli acquisti mirati :)
Grazie! E grandissimo come sempre!
!PGM
!LOL
View more
Awesome post!
thanks :)
!PGM
!LOL
lolztoken.com
I like to mooooove it mooooooove it
Credit: reddit
@noempathy, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @libertycrypto27
Use the !LOL or !LOLZ command to share a joke and an $LOLZ
(1/8)
BUY AND STAKE THE PGM TO SEND A LOT OF TOKENS!
The tokens that the command sends are: 0.1 PGM-0.1 LVL-0.1 THGAMING-0.05 DEC-15 SBT-1 STARBITS-[0.00000001 BTC (SWAP.BTC) only if you have 2500 PGM in stake or more ]
5000 PGM IN STAKE = 2x rewards!
Discord
Support the curation account @ pgm-curator with a delegation 10 HP - 50 HP - 100 HP - 500 HP - 1000 HP
Get potential votes from @ pgm-curator by paying in PGM, here is a guide
I'm a bot, if you want a hand ask @ zottone444
Yay! 🤗
Your content has been boosted with Ecency Points, by @libertycrypto27.
Use Ecency daily to boost your growth on platform!
Support Ecency
Vote for new Proposal
Delegate HP and earn more
I gifted $PIZZA slices here:
libertycrypto27 tipped speedtuning (x1)
@solymi(2/10) tipped @libertycrypto27 (x1)
libertycrypto27 tipped moeenali (x1)
libertycrypto27 tipped zottone444 (x1)
thebighigg tipped libertycrypto27 (x2)
Join us in Discord!
https://twitter.com/1210519593237852161/status/1599079232000299009
https://twitter.com/1884771912/status/1599224998669209601
The rewards earned on this comment will go directly to the people( @libertycrypto27, @shiftrox ) sharing the post on Twitter as long as they are registered with @poshtoken. Sign up at https://hiveposh.com.
Congratulations, @libertycrypto27 Your Post Got 100% Boost.
@libertycrypto27 Burnt 69.873 UPME & We Followed That Lead.
Contact Us : CORE / VAULT Token Discord Channel
Click on the badge to view your board. Click [here](https://hivebuzz.me/rankingWC) to check your ranking.
Thank you to our sponsors. Please consider supporting them.
Check out the last post from @hivebuzz:
Click on the badge to view your board. Click [here](https://hivebuzz.me/rankingWC) to check your ranking.
Thank you to our sponsors. Please consider supporting them.
Check out the last post from @hivebuzz:
Congratulations @libertycrypto27! Your post has been a top performer on the Hive blockchain And you have been rewarded with the following badge
You can view your badges on your board and compare yourself to others in the Ranking
If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word
STOPCheck out the last post from @hivebuzz:
Click on the badge to view your board. Click [here](https://hivebuzz.me/rankingWC) to check your ranking.
Thank you to our sponsors. Please consider supporting them.
Check out the last post from @hivebuzz:
Click on the badge to view your board. Click [here](https://hivebuzz.me/rankingWC) to check your ranking.
Thank you to our sponsors. Please consider supporting them.
Check out the last post from @hivebuzz:
Dear @libertycrypto27,
Your support for the current HiveSQL proposal (#138) is much appreciated but the proposal will expire soon!
May I ask you to review and support the new proposal so HiveSQL can stay free to use for the community?
You can support the new proposal (#247) on Peakd, Ecency, Hive.blog or using HiveSigner.
Thank you!