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It is not easy to detect those who are here for the short term, someone might seem to be a long term holder but due to rewards being linear one could accumulate 100k HP and power it all down the same as it was 1k HP.
Selling pressure is not a problem imho, it is rather the fact that the main incentive (resource credits) is not yet scarce enough due to the current abundance of bandwidth we have.
That will change though as the network grows and dapps onboard more users.
You're right. I think you cannot know the intention, unless you look inside the mind which is impossible. However, in the Short run we have to look at on-chain actions and all that. Afterall it's our chain, and I guess we all have a responsibility towards Hive.
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