Is It Really Bad As It Was in 2018? .:. Comparing Bear Markets - Late Night Blogging

Occasionally, I check "crypto Twitter" and most of the time because certain tweet notification comes on my phone... I have no idea (nor have I tried to search why) why I do get these notifications from random tweets, often without any topic that I'm interested in...

And on Twitter, like on many other platforms, you have that "trending" part where you can check the "most important news" at the moment... To be honest, in my opinion, I would rather call that part "the most distracting news" as they are usually just mainstream bullshit news that should distract you from other important things... Things that are important for YOU, and not something that you can just talk about without having any power to change it, nor your "thinking" could help at all...


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Something similar exists on YouTube also... And regarding crypto, I watched a video (forgot which one) where someone accused the person to be "too bearish" in these times?! Like, wtf is that even important if someone is bearish or bullish at the moment? Will that change something if some YT said that he is bullish (or bearish)? In the end, markets will do what they do... They will EVENTUALLY show the "naked" reality, despite the pressure of hiding it...

You can create "fake news", fake reality, Metaverse, or any other distraction, but in the end, when people don't have food on the table, they will see the truth... You can hide it... It's like in detective movies when the murderer is trying to hide evidence, there is always at least one tiny thing that it forgets... And that starts the avalanche of truth coming out to the surface... (I've watched Knives Out and I'm still under the influence of the movie 😃)


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So, back to the main-main topic of this post... We are in a bear market and that's a fact... We had bear markets in the past, and we will have more in the future... But, to understand the bear market, you should experience one, two, or maybe more of them... If I count my first "excursion" in crypto when I bought 1 BTC in 2013, this is my 3rd bear market... But, I would rather call it my second, as I had no idea what I was doing in 2013-2014...

My first real bear market was in 2018... I mined a significant amount of ETH (for me) in 2017, exchanged some for BTC, bought a bunch of different shitcoins, and hoped for the best... Obviously, it didn't happen in 2018, but it was rather the opposite... It was a slap from the markets directly to my face... I THOUGHT that I have mined gold, I had it in my hands, and then bear markets made it vanish... I didn't sell anything, but the value diminished...

The second bear market (for me) is happening at these moments... It is maybe worse than in 2018 (if we check the numbers, probably it is), but I went into it much better prepared than for the first one... I LEARNED something! Yay! But, of course, I made some other mistakes down the road... lol...


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Anyways, we have some questions that have risen up in both markets and there is a HUGE difference between NOW and 2018...

The FIRST big difference is that we are not asking the same questions now as we did in 2018... Four years ago, I wasn't sure that CRYPTO will survive that bear market at all! Maybe all that is just a dream and it will just disappear after that huge pressure which was on it... The bubble will pop out and all my crypto assets will go to zero... That year was probably one of the worst years of my life...

This year, in this bear market, we don't have these questions at all... Institutions are heavily in crypto and (IMO) there is no way to go back and "kill the crypto"... It would be shooting in their own foot, so there is no fear of losing our crypto... Now the main questions are... When it will finish? Will we see the BTC price high as it was before? There is no uncertainty that crypto will not survive, but only the question of WHEN... When will the bear market finish?


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So, I suppose that many others are thinking in a similar way to me... We have LEARNED things from past events, and we have EXPERIENCED bad things on our skin, and that's why we are certain about crypto... That's why crypto people don't panic like some "traditional" investors... We are used to these 10-20% dumps in a day... And we KNOW the real value of these assets!

After seeing my HIVE wallet, my friend asked me: "How can you sleep peacefully with that amount on one website?" I can as I know that my funds aren't stored on ONE website, but on a blockchain, where it is 100 times safer than in a bank... It is stored in a cryptocurrency where I know exactly the "rules of the game" and the rules can't be changed overnight! I know the REAL VALUE of that asset and that's why I can sleep peacefully...

It's hard to learn from others' experiences and it's not that "deep learning" as it is when we figure out things on our own skin...

Thank you for your time,

~ph~

PS. None of this is financial advice, but rather my view about certain things in the crypto-verse...


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15 comments

I still remain optimistic that things will get better in time and markets will rebound. Bear markets don't last forever. Hehe!

0.00107832 BEE

Well, yeah... It has to finish once... It's just the question, WHEN? 😃

!WINE

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I really enjoyed this post ... I think you have highlighted the main thing, maybe this is the first bear market that we are all aware of that will end, while the previous ones had put so much fear, so much so that perhaps the market would not he would survive. This time it's not like that

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Exactly as you said... The first time it was the question IF crypto will survive the bear market at all... and this time the question is only WHEN the bear market will end... ;)

Thanks for your kind words! Have a great Sunday!

!PIZZA

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I would say that we think the same way about this bear market. At this point we just have to wait and if we can also accumulate a little

0.00106518 BEE

Yes I think we should think positive as we have experiences such down market in the past and should be hopeful for a year like 2021 in crypto world. Hope for the best. Thanks for passing some positive vibes
❤️💝💖

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As I said in the post, being bearish or bullish will not help too much... We just have to accept the reality and continue building... ;)

Thanks for your kind words! !LUV

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(edited)

This is a real bear market, its getting dark outside, people are therefore bored and at home. As the market tanks, people be licking their wounds trying to make themselves feel as good as possible with real things now, not hopes of better to come. Christmas is always the catalyst of a bull run historically, doubt it this year. People will be saving as much as they can because they know economic pain is coming. This year it will just be depressing and thats just how it is. Its a negative feedback loop situation we are in unfortunately.

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So in some ways… this bear is a different worse kind of gloom.

!PIZZA

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I wouldn't say that it's "worse" or better... It's different... :)

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You have described ANY bear market perfectly... It looks black and grey and the light at the end of the tunnel isn't visible... It's true that it "looks" like that, but the real challenge is to "overcome" that and continue doing what we were doing before... What is the most important in these moments... For me, it's accumulating and building... and definitely not sitting in the corner crying... I have done that in 2018 and made a huge mistake...

!WINE

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0E-8 BEE

Very apt...

No one can always predict the exact time when a particular market trend will stop or continue.. but a trader should just ensure they enter the market at the right time and also make sure that your risk management is effective..

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Exactly... A lot of people fail on the "risk management" side, but that's even more important than the "right moment" to enter the market...

!PIZZA

0E-8 BEE

I like the reminder that the difference is institutional money invested in crypto.

!PIZZA

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IMO, the situation is different and less uncertain than it was in 2018... The crypto will survive... We couldn't say that for sure in 2018, but today we can...

!PIZZA

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After seeing my HIVE wallet, my friend asked me: "How can you sleep peacefully with that amount on one website?" I can as I know that my funds aren't stored on ONE website, but on a blockchain, where it is 100 times safer than in a bank...

It's true. I'm more worried about having time to save up a much larger amount for Hive before the bull market.

Very cool writing by the way! Deep thoughts!
!ALIVE

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You are here at the right time for the crypto accumulation! Use this time as it's perfect for that!

Thanks for your kind words!

!WINE

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0E-8 BEE

I think the media and system is building up to showing the emperor has no clothes. Will the majority of people have the cognitive dissonance to recognise it though? I have my doubts.

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Huh... I doubt that they will EVER admit that the emperor has no clothes... Maybe only when they have another plan to make a swap... But, in any case, they will never admit that they have been wrong... It was a corona, war in Ukraine, or something third that is guilty...

!LUV

0E-8 BEE

Yeah, I guess only to swap to some new clothes. 😅 I was getting ahead of myself there. 😅

0.00104956 BEE

Most social media are full of drama and I don't really like them that much. It's an excellent way to kill time but it's relatively unproductive in terms of how you use it so I stopped using Twitter a long time ago. I still use Youtube because of the videos though but I don't believe everything at face value.

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0.00101533 BEE

Agree 100% with you regarding Twitter... It's so poisonous and a huge time wastes that there is no meaning in checking it at all... I have no idea why I check it for these 5 - 10 mins per day... Maybe to get the idea about the "pulse of society"...
Unfortunately, YT is going in a similar direction as Twitter... I was using it a lot before, but lately, less and less...

!PIZZA

0E-8 BEE

This is my first bear market experience. I am just thankful that I am not panicking at the moment. 😊

Good thing, I managed to learn enough from Hive (especially LeoFinance) about crypto (especially Hive) and finance just before this bear market. If not, then I might have have quit months ago. 😁
!1UP

0.00101084 BEE

Oh, man... My first was very bad... I was very fresh on HIVE (STEEM at that moment), and I didn't have friends to show me the "right way of thinking in the bear market"...
You are lucky to be here and have LeoFinance to check how others think/do... In general, we are lucky to have each other in this awesome community!

!LUV

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(edited)

I am sorry about your first bear market experience.
But I would like to thank you, as you are one of those who thought me, and the others, with the right knowledge and mindset during this bear market.

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(edited)

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