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Long time no see! Hehe! I guess no one really knows or is able to predict movements in the short term. That's why people should just focus on the long term and find their own conviction in the stocks or cryptos that they believe in rather than timing the market.
What you said sounds so simple, that looks almost impossible to be that simple... But, it is! Even for me, who understands that, I have problems to "execute" that thinking, and ignoring the short term!
It can always be a mix. I still trade short term sometimes for the thrill. Lol!