Euro 2024 - How Accurate Are AI Predictions? [Part 9 - Which AI Is The Winner?]

Spain has won Euro 2024 which wasn't that much of a surprise because they were strong favourites coming into this tournament. But the question is, which AI is the winner for the predictions?

So I wrote a post earlier this week (here) about using AI to predict Euro 2024 matches, and I discussed whether the predictions were accurate or not.

And it wasn't just me who found this interesting - there were a few comments who thought this was something that they wanted to follow. So I thought, why not let me continue with this?

So here's what I would do:

• To spare you guys all the AI generated analysis, I have removed their analysis and focused purely on the scorelines
• As usual, I would ask ChatGPT and Meta AI on the day of the matches itself so that they can provide their prediction based on the latest(?) information they have
• Of course, we should have a competition as to which AI is better in predicting the outcome of the matches. So I have come up with a scoring system: 1 point for guessing the correct team (or draw), 3 points for guessing the exact scoreline!
• Update: From knockout round onwards, given the complexity of extra time and penalty shootouts, both AIs will just be required to pick the winner. 2 points to be awarded for the correct guess!

Have put in some effort to organise all the data within the table below. (The first 4 matches were NA because I started this experiment late.)

Current Score: ChatGPT 41 (-) Meta AI 41 (+2)

And for the final score, both ChatGPT and Meta AI are tied 41 points each! Meta AI was leading at the group stage, before ChatGPT overtook at the knock out stage and clung on to the lead all the way to the finals. However, Meta AI got key predictions right in the semi finals and grand finals to level the scores in the end!

I never expected, out of so many permutations, both AIs would tie after close to 50 matches of predictions. But we have it! Maybe Meta AI would be slightly better if we attach more importance to the finals and semi finals.

So that's the end of this little experiment! Hope you had as much fun as I did! It's BYE to football/soccer for a while!